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March 29, 2013
quick note on the graphics: The solid shading represents snowfall that I
think has a pretty good chance of happening (>65-70%). Areas outlined in
a solid line are where I think there is a notable chance of the snow
indicated by the text within the lined area falling, but confidence is not
high enough to use solid shading.
Today’s forecast will be the final one for the season. - John
Snowfall: Note, all
reports in this write up are preliminary. I do not get full reports to me
until after putting this out.
were quiet across the region again yesterday, with temps finding their way
above freezing in all of the region.
major changes. A bit of light snow will coat the Northwoods later this
weekend, with some heavier lake effect for later Sunday into Monday. Then
back to quiet and a slow melting.
will remain quiet across the region for today.
outlook for the weekend still sees a pair of fronts to work through and
bring chances for a couple of inches of snow to much of the Northwoods, with
light rains to the south.
first front coming through tomorrow will have enough warm air with it to
generate some rains and a bit of snow mixed across northern MN and the UP,
as well as extreme northern sections of WI. All of that precip will be
second front looks to produce mainly snow in the Northwoods, but
accumulations look to be around an inch or so in most cases.
the second front Saturday night and early Sunday, a late season brand of
arctic air looks to set the stage for lake effect snows to occur in the UP
and NWL MI snow belts from later Sunday through Monday night. Only minor
changes have been made to the details with that LES activity and it is still
a bit too far out in the forecast to be trying to nail down exactly who will
that said, it looks like winds will be more NW, rather than westerly or
west-northwesterly. Thus the snows will fall in the traditional spots of the
western UP from the Porkies to Copper Harbor and in the east from Munising
to Paradise, with the higher terrain from Rockland to South Range and then
inland areas from Wetmore to south of Grand Marais to see the heavies
totals. Estimates on amounts have been lowered a bit too, with most areas to
see a general 3-7” fall, with some isolated heavier totals possible.
is also likely in NWL MI by Sunday night into early Tuesday morning, with
ideas on accumulations in the 2-5” range on a general scale, with some
isolated heavier totals.
will be running average to a bit below average for the next 4 days, although
most of the Northwoods will see temps to out in the upper 30’s to mid
40’s for the next 2-3 days and then temps will fall to below freezing for
highs by later Sunday into Monday.
then look to quiet down in most of the region by Monday and the LES will
finish up on Tuesday and most areas look to be dry for the rest of the week.
is a system towards the end of next week that could bring some snows or even
a rain/snow mix to the Northwoods.
for the first half of next week look to remain below freezing in the
Northwoods and then by the second half of the week and into the following
weekend, will be back to above freezing for highs, with daytime highs in the
upper 30’s to mid 40’s.
is the final weekend for riding in most of the Northwoods groomed trails and
thus the final report for the season. I hope everyone was able to take
advantage of the strong second half of the season. Certainly some of the
best snow play in all of the northern Midwest, not just the Northwoods in
years. Hard-core guys will still be able to find some snow to ride in areas
of the Northwoods (especially LES belts of the UP) for a few more weeks.