Give me hope for snow in michigan [Archive] - JohnDee.com Discussion Board

View Full Version : Give me hope for snow in michigan

johnbowman48060

10-29-2009, 08:02 PM

johns winter forcast does not look good for the people in michigan. someone give me hope that we will get a lot of snow this year. i have been saving every little bit i can to go riding this year. i was planning on going to orlando for a week and taking the kids. but i said NO the heak with that i didnt get to ride at all last year i am riding this year. thanks and have a good night.

lenny

10-29-2009, 08:24 PM

lake effect snows will fly!

local897

10-29-2009, 08:43 PM

It's not if it's how, How flexable are you to chase the snow WHEN it falls!

zrjes

10-29-2009, 09:45 PM

Ok, I remember the horrible winter of El Nino 1998 where we had no sign of snow all the way up until Christmas. I remember how tough it was as I was a Freshman at Purdue and all I could think of was my Dad and I's annual UP trip over Christmas to New Years. We were able to find snow, but it was not good and we had to cut the trip short.

Here is the thing, although there is no correlation between snow in October and the rest of the season, I still like to believe that since we have had Fall snows it will at least mean we will not have a super warm and snowless winter like 1998. It may not be a record year for snow, and we might have warm spells, but as long as it is not Winter 1998 I am VERY HAPPY. Follow the LES!

I think this winter will be ok!

Stack

polarisrider1

10-29-2009, 10:23 PM

It's mother nature, give her a break. The weather forecast is an educated guess. John and the rest do the best they can, but it is not an exact science. There will be snow, and as usual we will be chasing it. Johnbowman, It's a priority thing. What in the world you going to do in Orlando? (I go to see the mouse). local897 answered the question. Now Welcome to our world. I-75 is your friend. Head north young man. Oh! besides you know that it barely snows in Port Huron. lol

mr_freeze

10-30-2009, 09:28 AM

You're actually going to trust a weatherman???? Do you realize how often these guys get the forecast correct. Look out the window, that's the most accurate data you'll get.

bearone

10-30-2009, 11:11 AM

Where do you see Johns forecast for the winter.

bearone

10-30-2009, 11:17 AM

Sorry found it.

live4this6

10-30-2009, 11:41 AM

Yea guys i hate to say it but i think us snow lovers are in real trouble. They said on the local weather that the el nino is likely to strengthen throughout the fall/winter. I live in northern illinois and last time we had a strong el nino year we only receieved 17 inches of snow total. http://www.johndee.com/discuss/clipart/sad.gif Lets hope and pray for the best!!!!

Eric

indy_500

10-30-2009, 11:47 AM

in the U.P. most of the snow is lake effect. i would never worry about not enough snow up there. what i'm worried about is down in wisconsin. I live in the appleton area and we only get system snow. they're calling for a bitterly cold winter which brings lots of les. so there is hope!

live4this6

10-30-2009, 11:48 AM

I love Johns site and everything he does, but the last 2 years he has been almost 100 percent wrong on the southeast midwest forcast.
He has forcasted mild conditions for this region every year and the last 2 winters have been some of the best in a long time!•••••••

indy_500

10-30-2009, 11:51 AM

i wouldn't go saying that on this here website live4this6.. john is more focused on the U.P. weather by the way.

live4this6

10-30-2009, 12:08 PM

Yea true, I apoligize in advance for that..Its just frusterating when people like me wait all year for winter and this winter is not looking good. I personally will be making 3-4 trips to the UP this year soo if the snow isnt here i hope for the best in Johns area!••••••

We all need to hope for the best!••••••

thebreeze

10-30-2009, 12:56 PM

It will snow. Everyone needs to stop all the worrying. It will get cold, it will snow, and we will ride. It may be worse than last winter in some areas, and better in others. Either way, there will be riding.

chords

10-30-2009, 04:29 PM

http://www.johndee.com/discuss/messages/5/118379.jpg

toddspolaris

10-30-2009, 04:30 PM

just wait for it. Nobody predicted the blizzard of 78 for us here in ohio, but we got a good one

local897

10-30-2009, 08:04 PM

hope for the best prepair for the worst! If you need a chill pill on the forcast go to peopleofwalmart.com ! Remeber this is a forcast not a guarantee!!!! If you make your judgement on your whole season from a forcast 2 months before the season starts your in the wrong sport (IMO)! Same goes for MPG!! SORRY for my rant had to get it out!•••• Andrew OUT!

thebluff

10-30-2009, 09:18 PM

rockland-mass city-twin lakes-all points north of there......we will have snow.

no doubt about that.

snoeatr

10-31-2009, 01:01 AM

Correct me if wrong, but I think 77-78 was an El Nino year that ended up cold and snowy. (I wasn't alive then, but think I have seen that somewhere) Keep attitudes up cause there will be snow, that is gauranteed!

chords

10-31-2009, 01:44 AM

That was a record snow year for some areas, but I dont think the term ~El Nino~ had been invented yet. All that was known was Hot Cold Wet Dry and everything in-between.;

admin

10-31-2009, 07:21 AM

77-78 was on the warm side of zero, but not quite warm enough to be called El Nino, but I think local897 hit the nail on the head by saying "It's a forecast, not a guarantee."

Folks should really read my soap box speech on seasonal forecasting to understand how unscientific and thus untrustworthy any seasonal forecast is.

-John

P.S. El Nino was coined by scientists in the early 70's, but the seasonal warming of the waters of the Pacific off the coast of Peru/Equador had been called El Nino by the locals for many many years.

-John